MatchRadar
Aparecidense
1:1
HT: 1:0
Capital Brasilia
Statistical Pick
Double Chance X2 — Capital Brasilia or Draw
Winner : Capital Brasilia
Confidence
Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: X
1 · Aparecidense 10% 10.00
X · Draw 45% 2.22
2 · Capital Brasil... 45% 2.22
Decimal odds · Fair (model) · updated 19 Jun 08:12

Double Chance

Pick: X2
1X55%
1255%
X290%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 2.90
0.5
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
1.5
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
2.5
Over 2.555%
Under 2.545%
3.5
Over 3.533%
Under 3.567%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: Yes
BTTS Yes58%
BTTS No42%
Your call:
1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Aparecidense 1.30
Capital Brasilia 1.60
Goals line -1.5

📊 Form

Aparecidense
W D L D D
P: 10 · W: 3 · D: 4 · L: 3
Capital Brasilia
W W D W W
P: 10 · W: 7 · D: 2 · L: 1

🤝 Head-to-Head

  • 26 Jul 25 Aparecidense 2-1 Capital Brasilia
  • 19 Apr 25 Capital Brasilia 0-1 Aparecidense

⚖️ Team Comparison

32% Form 68%
35% Attack 65%
33% Defence 67%
22% Poisson 78%
100% H2H 0%
75% Goals 25%
39% Total 60%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Aparecidense and Capital Brasilia in the Serie D offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 10% for a Aparecidense win, 45% for a draw, and 45% for Capital Brasilia. Recent form: Aparecidense — WDLDD; Capital Brasilia — WWDWW. Season averages: 1.30 goals per game for Aparecidense and 1.60 for Capital Brasilia. Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Aparecidense leads with 2 wins to 0 for Capital Brasilia, with 0 draws. The model leans towards under 1.5 goals in this game. Both teams look likely to find the net (BTTS — Yes). Recommended pick: Double Chance X2 — Capital Brasilia or Draw. Please bet responsibly.

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