MatchRadar
Brazil
2:1
HT: 0:1
Japan
📍 NRG Stadium, Houston 🧑‍⚖️ Maurizio Mariani, Italy

Brazil 2-1 Japan: Match Report

Full Time · Round of 32 · HT 0-1 · 29 Jun 2026

Brazil got the better of Japan 2-1 at NRG Stadium, Houston in the World Cup after trailing 0-1 at the break.

The goals came through K. Sano for Japan on 29'; Casemiro for Brazil on 56', set up by Gabriel; and G. Martinelli for Brazil on 90+5', set up by Bruno Guimaraes.

Statistically, Brazil dominated possession (69%–31%), while Brazil registered 19 shots to Japan's 5 (7–2 on target).

On the cards: 5 bookings.

⚽ Brazil
  • Casemiro 56'
  • G. Martinelli 90+5'
⚽ Japan
  • K. Sano 29'

⏱️ Match Timeline

  1. 🟨 12'
    K. Sano Yellow Card
  2. Casemiro Yellow Card
    🟨 14'
  3. 29'
    K. Sano Normal Goal
  4. 🟨 45'
    D. Kamada Yellow Card
  5. Lucas Paqueta On: Lucas Paqueta · Off: Endrick
    🔁 46'
  6. Danilo Yellow Card
    🟨 48'
  7. Casemiro Assist: Gabriel
    56'
  8. M. Cunha On: M. Cunha · Off: G. Martinelli
    🔁 66'
  9. 🔁 66'
    R. Doan On: R. Doan · Off: Y. Sugawara
  10. 🔁 66'
    K. Nakamura On: K. Nakamura · Off: J. Suzuki
  11. 🔁 78'
    D. Kamada On: D. Kamada · Off: A. Tanaka
  12. 🔁 78'
    J. Ito On: J. Ito · Off: S. Machino
  13. 🟨 84'
    J. Suzuki Yellow Card
  14. Casemiro On: Casemiro · Off: Fabinho
    🔁 90+2'
  15. G. Martinelli Assist: Bruno Guimaraes
    90+5'
  16. 🔁 90+7'
    D. Maeda On: D. Maeda · Off: K. Ogawa
  17. 🔁 90+8'
    D. Maeda On: D. Maeda · Off: K. Ogawa
  18. Bruno Guimaraes On: Bruno Guimaraes · Off: Danilo Santos
    🔁 90+8'

📊 Match Statistics

69% Possession 31%
19 Total shots 5
7 On target 2
6 Corners 2
4 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 3
624 Accurate passes 258
Statistical Pick
Double Chance 1X — Brazil or Draw
Double chance : Brazil or draw
Confidence
Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: 1
1 · Brazil 45% 1.67
X · Draw 45% 3.70
2 · Japan 10% 5.50
Decimal odds · Bet365 · updated 29 Jun 05:30

Double Chance

Pick: 1X
1X90%
1255%
X255%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 4.60
0.5
Over 0.599%
Under 0.51%
1.5
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
2.5
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
3.5
Over 3.567%
Under 3.533%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: Yes
BTTS Yes81%
BTTS No19%
Your call:
1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Brazil 2.30
Japan 2.30
Goals line -2.5

📊 Form

Brazil
D W W
P: 3 · W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 0
Japan
D W D
P: 3 · W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 0

🤝 Head-to-Head

  • 14 Oct 25 Japan 3-2 Brazil
  • 6 Jun 22 Japan 0-1 Brazil
  • 10 Nov 17 Japan 1-3 Brazil
  • 15 Jun 13 Brazil 3-0 Japan

⚖️ Team Comparison

58% Form 42%
50% Attack 50%
75% Defence 25%
47% Poisson 53%
75% H2H 25%
69% Goals 31%
62% Total 37%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Brazil and Japan in the World Cup offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 45% for a Brazil win, 45% for a draw, and 10% for Japan. Recent form: Brazil — DWW; Japan — DWD. Season averages: 2.30 goals per game for Brazil and 2.30 for Japan. Across the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Brazil leads with 3 wins to 1 for Japan, with 0 draws. The model leans towards under 2.5 goals in this game. Both teams look likely to find the net (BTTS — Yes). Recommended pick: Double Chance 1X — Brazil or Draw. Please bet responsibly.

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