MatchRadar
Serie D
27 June 2026, 22:00
Capital Brasilia
vs
22:00
Aparecidense
Statistical Pick
Double Chance 1X — Capital Brasilia or Draw
Double chance : Capital Brasilia or draw
Confidence
Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: 1
1 · Capital Brasil... 45% 1.80
X · Draw 45% 3.10
2 · Aparecidense 10% 4.10
Decimal odds · Bet365 · updated 26 Jun 10:12

Double Chance

Pick: 1X
1X90%
1255%
X255%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 2.80
0.5
Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
1.5
Over 1.577%
Under 1.523%
2.5
Over 2.553%
Under 2.547%
3.5
Over 3.531%
Under 3.569%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: Yes
BTTS Yes57%
BTTS No43%
Your call:
1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Capital Brasilia 1.50
Aparecidense 1.30
Goals line -2.5

📊 Form

Capital Brasilia
W D W W D
P: 11 · W: 7 · D: 3 · L: 1
Aparecidense
D L D D D
P: 11 · W: 3 · D: 5 · L: 3

🤝 Head-to-Head

  • 20 Jun 26 Aparecidense 1-1 Capital Brasilia
  • 26 Jul 25 Aparecidense 2-1 Capital Brasilia
  • 19 Apr 25 Capital Brasilia 0-1 Aparecidense

⚖️ Team Comparison

73% Form 27%
69% Attack 31%
60% Defence 40%
65% Poisson 35%
13% H2H 88%
33% Goals 67%
52% Total 48%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Capital Brasilia and Aparecidense in the Serie D offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 45% for a Capital Brasilia win, 45% for a draw, and 10% for Aparecidense. Recent form: Capital Brasilia — WDWWD; Aparecidense — DLDDD. Season averages: 1.50 goals per game for Capital Brasilia and 1.30 for Aparecidense. Across the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Capital Brasilia leads with 0 wins to 2 for Aparecidense, with 1 draws. The model leans towards under 2.5 goals in this game. Both teams look likely to find the net (BTTS — Yes). Recommended pick: Double Chance 1X — Capital Brasilia or Draw. Please bet responsibly.

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