MatchRadar
Excursionistas
5:0
HT: 3:0
Deportivo Merlo
📍 Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires
Statistical Pick
Double Chance 1X — Excursionistas or Draw
Double chance : Excursionistas or draw
Confidence
Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: 1
1 · Excursionistas 45% 1.60
X · Draw 45% 3.20
2 · Deportivo Merl... 10% 5.75
Decimal odds · Bet365 · updated 26 Jun 09:12

Double Chance

Pick: 1X
1X90%
1255%
X255%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 2.50
0.5
Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
1.5
Over 1.571%
Under 1.529%
2.5
Over 2.546%
Under 2.554%
3.5
Over 3.524%
Under 3.576%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: Yes
BTTS Yes51%
BTTS No49%
Your call:
1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Excursionistas 1.30
Deportivo Merlo 1.20
Goals line -2.5

📊 Form

Excursionistas
D W W W D
P: 21 · W: 12 · D: 6 · L: 3
Deportivo Merlo
D W L D L
P: 21 · W: 8 · D: 7 · L: 6

🤝 Head-to-Head

  • 15 Feb 26 Deportivo Merlo 1-2 Excursionistas
  • 6 Sep 25 Excursionistas 3-1 Deportivo Merlo
  • 20 Apr 25 Deportivo Merlo 3-2 Excursionistas
  • 14 Sep 24 Deportivo Merlo 2-1 Excursionistas
  • 27 Apr 24 Excursionistas 3-1 Deportivo Merlo
  • 8 May 20 Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo

⚖️ Team Comparison

69% Form 31%
57% Attack 43%
75% Defence 25%
79% Poisson 21%
60% H2H 40%
58% Goals 42%
66% Total 33%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Excursionistas and Deportivo Merlo in the Primera B Metropolitana offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 45% for a Excursionistas win, 45% for a draw, and 10% for Deportivo Merlo. Recent form: Excursionistas — DWWWD; Deportivo Merlo — DWLDL. Season averages: 1.30 goals per game for Excursionistas and 1.20 for Deportivo Merlo. Across the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas leads with 5 wins to 4 for Deportivo Merlo, with 0 draws. The model leans towards under 2.5 goals in this game. Both teams look likely to find the net (BTTS — Yes). Recommended pick: Double Chance 1X — Excursionistas or Draw. Please bet responsibly.

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