MatchRadar
Lugano
1:0
HT: 1:0
Mercedes
Statistical Pick
Double Chance X2 — Mercedes or Draw
Double chance : draw or Mercedes
Confidence
Medium · 60%

Match Result · 1X2

Pick: X
1 · Lugano 10% 2.05
X · Draw 45% 2.80
2 · Mercedes 45% 3.60
Decimal odds · Bet365 · updated 13 Jun 06:12

Double Chance

Pick: X2
1X55%
1255%
X290%

Over / Under Goals

Total xG: 2.00
0.5
Over 0.586%
Under 0.514%
1.5
Over 1.559%
Under 1.541%
2.5
Over 2.532%
Under 2.568%
3.5
Over 3.514%
Under 3.586%

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Pick: No
BTTS Yes37%
BTTS No63%
Your call:
1: 0% · X: 0% · 2: 0% (0 votes) ·

⚽ Expected Goals (xG)

Lugano 1.30
Mercedes 0.70
Goals line -2.5

📊 Form

Lugano
W D L D L
P: 15 · W: 4 · D: 6 · L: 5
Mercedes
L L W D D
P: 15 · W: 4 · D: 7 · L: 4

🤝 Head-to-Head

  • 17 Aug 25 Lugano 0-1 Mercedes
  • 2 May 25 Mercedes 1-1 Lugano
  • 26 Oct 24 Mercedes 2-2 Lugano
  • 27 May 24 Lugano 0-0 Mercedes
  • 9 Oct 23 Mercedes 2-1 Lugano
  • 2 Jul 23 Lugano 2-1 Mercedes

⚖️ Team Comparison

50% Form 50%
67% Attack 33%
36% Defence 64%
70% Poisson 30%
25% H2H 75%
40% Goals 60%
48% Total 52%

📝 Analysis

The fixture between Lugano and Mercedes in the Primera C offers a compelling betting proposition. Our statistical model splits the odds: 10% for a Lugano win, 45% for a draw, and 45% for Mercedes. Recent form: Lugano — WDLDL; Mercedes — LLWDD. Season averages: 1.30 goals per game for Lugano and 0.70 for Mercedes. Across the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Lugano leads with 4 wins to 2 for Mercedes, with 3 draws. The model leans towards under 2.5 goals in this game. A clean sheet looks plausible for one side — BTTS leans to No. Recommended pick: Double Chance X2 — Mercedes or Draw. Please bet responsibly.

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